<p>It remains unclear what the novel coronavirus pandemic's impact will be on Middle East wars, but a first consequence seems to be a unilateral ceasefire starting Thursday in Yemen.</p>.<p>The United Nations has appealed for ceasefires in all the major conflicts rocking the planet, as COVID-19 has killed tens of thousands and placed half of the world population in confinement.</p>.<p>Here is an overview of the impact so far on the conflicts in Yemen, Syria, Libya and Iraq:</p>.<p>The Saudi-led military coalition fighting Yemen's Huthi rebels has declared a two-week ceasefire in the Arab world's poorest nation from Thursday at 0900 GMT.</p>.<p>There has been no immediate reaction from the Iran-backed rebels, but the announcement is a rare glimmer of hope for the five-year-old conflict.</p>.<p>It is the first breakthrough since the warring parties agreed to a UN-brokered ceasefire in the port city of Hodeida in late 2018.</p>.<p>"The coalition is determined... to support efforts towards combatting the spread of (the) COVID-19 pandemic," coalition spokesman Turki al-Maliki said.</p>.<p>Despite all sides initially welcoming the UN call for a halt in violence, fighting spiked late last month.</p>.<p>It was feared more flare-ups in Yemen could compound a humanitarian crisis often described as the worst in the world and invite a coronavirus outbreak of catastrophic proportions.</p>.<p>In a country where the health infrastructure has collapsed, where water is a rare commodity and where 24 million people require humanitarian assistance, the population had feared the worst without a ceasefire allowing for adequate aid.</p>.<p>The COVID-19 outbreak turned into a pandemic just as a ceasefire reached by the two main foreign power brokers in Syria's nine-year-old war -- Russia and Turkey -- was taking effect.</p>.<p>The three million people living in the ceasefire zone, in the country's northwestern region of Idlib, had little hope the deal would hold.</p>.<p>Yet fears the coronavirus could spread like wildfire across the devastated country appear to have given the truce an extended lease of life.</p>.<p>According to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, the month of March saw the lowest civilian death toll since the conflict started in 2011, with 103 deaths.</p>.<p>The ability of the multiple administrations in Syria -- the Damascus government, the autonomous Kurdish administration in the northeast and the jihadist-led alliance that runs Idlib -- to manage the coronavirus threat is key to their credibility.</p>.<p>"This epidemic is a way for Damascus to show that the Syrian state is efficient and all territories should be returned under its governance," analyst Fabrice Balanche said.</p>.<p>However the pandemic and the global mobilisation it requires could precipitate the departure of US-led troops from Syria and neighbouring Iraq.</p>.<p>This in turn could create a vacuum in which the Islamic State jihadist group, still reeling from the demise of its "caliphate" a year ago, could seek to step up its attacks.</p>.<p>The main protagonists in the Libyan conflict initially welcomed the UN ceasefire call but swiftly resumed hostilities.</p>.<p>Fierce fighting has rocked the capital Tripoli in recent days, suggesting the risk of a major coronavirus outbreak is not enough to make guns fall silent.</p>.<p>Violence since the start of the year has displaced 200,000 people from their homes, most in the capital, the International Organization for Migration says.</p>.<p>Hostilities on Monday damaged a Tripoli hospital where COVID-19 patients are being treated, it said.</p>.<p>Turkey has recently played a key role in the conflict, throwing its weight behind the UN-recognised Government of National Accord.</p>.<p>Balanche predicted that accelerated Western disengagement from Middle East conflicts could limit Turkish support to the GNA.</p>.<p>That could eventually favour forces loyal to eastern-based strongman Khalifa Haftar, who launched an assault on Tripoli one year ago and is backed by Russia, Egypt and the United Arab Emirates.</p>.<p>Western countries have been hit hardest by the pandemic, which could prompt them to divert both military resources and peace-brokering capacity from foreign conflicts.</p>.<p>The International Crisis Group has reported European officials as saying efforts to secure a ceasefire in Libya were no longer receiving high-level attention due to the pandemic.</p>.<p>Iraq is no longer gripped by fully-fledged conflict but it remains vulnerable to an IS resurgence in some regions and its two main foreign backers are at each other's throats.</p>.<p>Iran and the United States are two of the countries most affected by the coronavirus but there has been no sign of any let-up in their battle for influence that has largely played out on Iraqi soil.</p>.<p>With most non-US troops in the coalition now gone and some bases evacuated, American personnel are regrouped in a handful of locations in Iraq.</p>.<p>Washington has deployed Patriot air defence missiles, prompting fears of a fresh escalation with Tehran, whose proxies it blames for a spate of rocket attacks on bases housing US troops.</p>
<p>It remains unclear what the novel coronavirus pandemic's impact will be on Middle East wars, but a first consequence seems to be a unilateral ceasefire starting Thursday in Yemen.</p>.<p>The United Nations has appealed for ceasefires in all the major conflicts rocking the planet, as COVID-19 has killed tens of thousands and placed half of the world population in confinement.</p>.<p>Here is an overview of the impact so far on the conflicts in Yemen, Syria, Libya and Iraq:</p>.<p>The Saudi-led military coalition fighting Yemen's Huthi rebels has declared a two-week ceasefire in the Arab world's poorest nation from Thursday at 0900 GMT.</p>.<p>There has been no immediate reaction from the Iran-backed rebels, but the announcement is a rare glimmer of hope for the five-year-old conflict.</p>.<p>It is the first breakthrough since the warring parties agreed to a UN-brokered ceasefire in the port city of Hodeida in late 2018.</p>.<p>"The coalition is determined... to support efforts towards combatting the spread of (the) COVID-19 pandemic," coalition spokesman Turki al-Maliki said.</p>.<p>Despite all sides initially welcoming the UN call for a halt in violence, fighting spiked late last month.</p>.<p>It was feared more flare-ups in Yemen could compound a humanitarian crisis often described as the worst in the world and invite a coronavirus outbreak of catastrophic proportions.</p>.<p>In a country where the health infrastructure has collapsed, where water is a rare commodity and where 24 million people require humanitarian assistance, the population had feared the worst without a ceasefire allowing for adequate aid.</p>.<p>The COVID-19 outbreak turned into a pandemic just as a ceasefire reached by the two main foreign power brokers in Syria's nine-year-old war -- Russia and Turkey -- was taking effect.</p>.<p>The three million people living in the ceasefire zone, in the country's northwestern region of Idlib, had little hope the deal would hold.</p>.<p>Yet fears the coronavirus could spread like wildfire across the devastated country appear to have given the truce an extended lease of life.</p>.<p>According to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, the month of March saw the lowest civilian death toll since the conflict started in 2011, with 103 deaths.</p>.<p>The ability of the multiple administrations in Syria -- the Damascus government, the autonomous Kurdish administration in the northeast and the jihadist-led alliance that runs Idlib -- to manage the coronavirus threat is key to their credibility.</p>.<p>"This epidemic is a way for Damascus to show that the Syrian state is efficient and all territories should be returned under its governance," analyst Fabrice Balanche said.</p>.<p>However the pandemic and the global mobilisation it requires could precipitate the departure of US-led troops from Syria and neighbouring Iraq.</p>.<p>This in turn could create a vacuum in which the Islamic State jihadist group, still reeling from the demise of its "caliphate" a year ago, could seek to step up its attacks.</p>.<p>The main protagonists in the Libyan conflict initially welcomed the UN ceasefire call but swiftly resumed hostilities.</p>.<p>Fierce fighting has rocked the capital Tripoli in recent days, suggesting the risk of a major coronavirus outbreak is not enough to make guns fall silent.</p>.<p>Violence since the start of the year has displaced 200,000 people from their homes, most in the capital, the International Organization for Migration says.</p>.<p>Hostilities on Monday damaged a Tripoli hospital where COVID-19 patients are being treated, it said.</p>.<p>Turkey has recently played a key role in the conflict, throwing its weight behind the UN-recognised Government of National Accord.</p>.<p>Balanche predicted that accelerated Western disengagement from Middle East conflicts could limit Turkish support to the GNA.</p>.<p>That could eventually favour forces loyal to eastern-based strongman Khalifa Haftar, who launched an assault on Tripoli one year ago and is backed by Russia, Egypt and the United Arab Emirates.</p>.<p>Western countries have been hit hardest by the pandemic, which could prompt them to divert both military resources and peace-brokering capacity from foreign conflicts.</p>.<p>The International Crisis Group has reported European officials as saying efforts to secure a ceasefire in Libya were no longer receiving high-level attention due to the pandemic.</p>.<p>Iraq is no longer gripped by fully-fledged conflict but it remains vulnerable to an IS resurgence in some regions and its two main foreign backers are at each other's throats.</p>.<p>Iran and the United States are two of the countries most affected by the coronavirus but there has been no sign of any let-up in their battle for influence that has largely played out on Iraqi soil.</p>.<p>With most non-US troops in the coalition now gone and some bases evacuated, American personnel are regrouped in a handful of locations in Iraq.</p>.<p>Washington has deployed Patriot air defence missiles, prompting fears of a fresh escalation with Tehran, whose proxies it blames for a spate of rocket attacks on bases housing US troops.</p>